UCPI 정세분석세미나

[일지] 아주대 미중정책연구소 정세분석세미나 2022-2

아주대학교 미중정책연구소 정세분석세미나 2022-1

시   간: 2022년 5월 2일

참여자: 박대현, 서예빈, 엄연하, 오대훈, 윤재형, 장기현, 전지은, 전태동, 최연실

주요 내용: 

China–Solomons  deal  ‘politically  illiterate’  if Beijing wants better ties with Australia: Rudd
29 Apr 2022|Jack Norton
https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/china-solomons-deal-politically-illiterate-if-beijing- wants-better-ties-with-australia-rudd/
 
Former prime minister Kevin Rudd says China’s security deal with Solomon Islands was a ‘politically illiterate’ move if Beijing is sincere about improving relations with Australia.
 
Speaking at an ASPI event in Canberra on Thursday, he said that while it was not clear that Australian politics had come into China’s calculations, the timing in the middle of an election campaign meant the deal with the Solomons was bound to cause political fireworks.
 
‘If the Chinese government and the Chinese Communist Party were seriously in the business of sending out a signal that post the next Australian election, whoever wins, the Liberal Party or my party, the Labor Party, that we wanted to have an agenda shift, we wanted to have a circuit-breaker, I could not have prescribed a worse thing to do than say, “I know what we’re going to do, we’re going to announce or have agreed with our new best buddies in Honiara, this security pact with the government of Solomon Islands.”
 
It is just politically illiterate for the Chinese party apparatus to have approved that as an approach.’
The deal will make it much harder for whichever party succeeds at the polls to thaw out relations with China, the former Labor PM said.
 
He said there was no doubt the Solomons agreement was a ‘deeply adverse development’ for Australia.
‘The cardinal principle of Australian security policy, including under Labor governments, since 1945 has been to secure the island states of the South Pacific from external strategic penetration. Governments of both persuasions have done that, but now we have a problem.’
 
The deal and its likely consequence of torpedoing the chances of improved China– Australia relations could be an indication of the bifurcation between China’s powerful Central Military Commission and its foreign policy establishment.
 
Rudd said it’s possible the commission wanted to seal the deal with the Solomons in part to demonstrate to Australia that it would face consequences for joining the AUKUS pact and pushing to acquire nuclear-powered submarines.
 
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